Randomly Decaying Sequence (noch nicht übersetzt)

Problem 697

Given a fixed real number c, define a random sequence (Xn)n0 by the following random process:

  • X0=c (with probability 1).
  • For n>0, Xn=UnXn1 where Un is a real number chosen at random between zero and one, uniformly, and independently of all previous choices (Um)m<n.

If we desire there to be precisely a 25% probability that X100<1, then this can be arranged by fixing c such that log10c46.27.

Suppose now that c is set to a different value, so that there is precisely a 25% probability that X10000000<1.

Find log10c and give your answer rounded to two places after the decimal point.