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Problem 906

Three friends attempt to collectively choose one of n options, labeled 1,,n, based upon their individual preferences. They choose option i if for every alternative option j at least two of the three friends prefer i over j. If no such option i exists they fail to reach an agreement.

Define P(n) to be the probability the three friends successfully reach an agreement and choose one option, where each of the friends' individual order of preference is given by a (possibly different) random permutation of 1,,n.

You are given P(3)=17/18 and P(10)0.6760292265.

Find P(20000). Give your answer rounded to ten places after the decimal point.